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LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Group Stage

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Group Stage": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Match Winner 74% Game 1 Winner 67% Game 2 Winner 67% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 54% Volume: $72K Liquidity: $507K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner74%
Game 1 Winner67%
Game 2 Winner67%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon54%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon53%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Any Player Quadra Kill48%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Game Handicap: DCG (-1.5) vs Ground Zero Gaming (+1.5)46%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors46%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors46%
Any Player Quadra Kill46%
O/U 2.5 Games44%
Any Player Penta Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill27%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 74% probability to lol: deep cross gaming vs ground zero gaming (bo3) - lcp group stage. This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between Deep Cross Gaming and Ground Zero Gaming in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 30 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Deep Cr…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Group Stage specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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