Tunisia vs. Japan - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Tunisia meet Japan in a World Cup group-stage match that already appears to have a **0-4 final score** in the completed result set, which would make the listed exact-score market resolve away from any “YES” position if the available outcomes do not include that scoreline.[2] Japan’s win is also consistent with the published highlights and match coverage, which frame it as a clear Japan victory rather than a narrow or high-variance contest.[1][3][5] On that basis, the crowd-implied **0% YES** looks less like a live probability and more like a post-result market that has already been fully priced by the crowd.

For comparison, exact-score markets tend to be much more fragmented on Betfair, Smarkets, and Kalshi than on a simple implied-probability display: exchange-style books usually show decimal odds, while Kalshi-style contracts are quoted as probabilities and settle discretely on the named outcome. That matters here because a **0-4** result would only pay if the exact listed score matches the contract definition, while “Any Other Score” would capture the rest; in exchange markets, the same view would usually be expressed through a very short-priced favourite rather than a binary 0%/100% readout. KYC and access also diverge, with regulated venue availability varying by jurisdiction and by whether the product is structured as an exchange bet or a US event contract.

The main catalysts for traders are not tactical team news so much as official match confirmation, line-ups, and any correction to the final result if there were administrative issues, because exact-score markets settle only on the score at full time plus stoppage time. ESPN’s live match summary and Fox Sports’ highlight pages both point to the same final result, which reduces ambiguity unless there is a later federation correction.[2][3][5] If the fixture had been delayed, suspended, or replayed, the settlement timing would matter more; in a completed match, the practical watchpoint is whether the market definition includes the published final score or any revised competition ruling.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We read Tunisia vs. Japan - Exact Score from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live quote comes directly from the Polygon order book; the other three are listed with their platform attributes — fees, KYC, settlement currency, payment options — because a 1:1 contract comparison without API access would be guesswork.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). Kalshi Alternative UK routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Kalshi Alternative UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi Alternative UK?

Zero. Kalshi Alternative UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi Alternative UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.