Morocco vs. Haiti - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Morocco and Haiti will meet at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta on 24 June 2026 for a FIFA World Cup Group C match, with gates opening at 6:00 PM local time and kick-off scheduled shortly thereafter[1][3]. The contest resolves on the final score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. Current crowd-implied probability for an “Exact Score” outcome sits at 5% YES, reflecting the market’s view that any specific scoreline is unlikely compared to the broader “Any Other Score” category.

Historically, Morocco’s World Cup record shows seven qualifications, including strong performances in 2018 and 2022, while Haiti has limited recent top-tier exposure, often finishing with low goal tallies in international fixtures[9][4]. Comparable Group C matches in past tournaments frequently ended with scores like 1–0, 2–1, or 3–0, but exact-score markets typically carry low implied probabilities due to the high variance in football outcomes. Books diverge here: Polymarket displays decimal odds (e.g., 20.00 for 5% implied), whereas Kalshi and Betfair emphasise implied probability percentages, and Smarkets applies a 2% fee structure versus Kalshi’s KYC-heavy model with no explicit fee but stricter access[2][4].

Traders should monitor pre-match line-up announcements and any weather-related delays, as Atlanta’s June conditions can impact play tempo. Recent coverage from Sky Sports notes Haiti’s defensive frailty, having conceded three goals in their last international match, while Morocco averages 2.4 points per game with strong against-the-spread performance[2][4]. FIFA’s official match centre confirms the 22:00 UTC kick-off and lists both teams’ confirmed line-ups, a key dependency for exact-score accuracy[5]. Platform differences remain critical: Kalshi requires full KYC and US residency, while Polymarket offers global access with crypto settlement, and Betfair charges variable fees based on liquidity tier.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Morocco vs. Haiti - Exact Score specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). Kalshi Alternative UK routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Kalshi Alternative UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi Alternative UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.