Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi Alternative UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi Alternative UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi Alternative UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi Alternative UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi Alternative UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi Alternative UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi Alternative UK.
Active sub-markets
Market context
MrBeast's latest YouTube upload will accumulate views across its first two days online, with traders wagering on whether that 48-hour total will exceed specific thresholds. The 0% implied probability suggests the market's current liquidity or strike structure has not yet attracted significant backing for any particular bracket, a common pattern on newer or less-traded YouTube engagement markets across prediction platforms.
MrBeast's historical upload performance provides the essential baseline. His videos routinely exceed 50 million views within 48 hours; several recent releases (including "I Gave Away $1,000,000" and similar high-concept content) have surpassed 100 million views in that window. The creator's subscriber base sits above 200 million, and his upload cadence typically generates immediate algorithmic promotion. Comparable creators like SET India or Zee Entertainment achieve substantially lower velocity, whilst established music-video channels show more variable patterns. The 0% reading likely reflects either absent order flow rather than genuine scepticism about whether MrBeast's video will clear lower-tier thresholds.
Traders should monitor MrBeast's upload schedule and content category—collaborations and record-breaking stunts historically outperform other formats. Platform differences matter here: Kalshi's regulatory structure in the US may restrict certain users from accessing this market, whilst Polymarket and Smarkets operate with lighter KYC requirements and decimal odds displays that some traders find clearer than implied probability. Betfair's lay functionality allows shorting specific brackets directly. The settlement window closes 16 June 2026, giving the full 48-hour measurement period to complete before resolution.
Methodology
This page compares # of views of MrBeast video day 2? specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Kalshi Alternative UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Kalshi Alternative UK?
- Zero. Kalshi Alternative UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi Alternative UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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