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MLB: Runs Leader

Which venue prices "MLB: Runs Leader" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

24% YES 76% NO Volume: $309K Liquidity: $210K Closes: 28 Sept 2026
Trade on Kalshi Alternative UK →
MLB: Runs Leader

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Kalshi Alternative UK Pick
polygram.ink
 24% 76% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Kalshi Alternative UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 24% 76% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Kalshi Alternative UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Kalshi Alternative UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Kalshi Alternative UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Kalshi Alternative UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi Alternative UK.

Active sub-markets

Shohei Ohtani24% YES77% NO
Juan Soto3% YES97% NO
Kyle Schwarber2% YES98% NO
Cal Raleigh0% YES100% NO
George Springer1% YES99% NO
José Ramírez2% YES98% NO

Market context

Market consensus: 24% chance of mlb: runs leader. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve acc…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 24% probability for "MLB: Runs Leader".

YES 24% NO 76%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $309K.

Methodology

This page compares MLB: Runs Leader specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). Kalshi Alternative UK routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Kalshi Alternative UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi Alternative UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Emma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial JournalistandSarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets Writer

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