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PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20

Which venue prices "PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Scottie Scheffler 81% S.Y. Noh 50% Kurt Kitayama 44% Tom Kim 44% Volume: $60K Liquidity: $676K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Scottie Scheffler81%
S.Y. Noh50%
Kurt Kitayama44%
Tom Kim44%
Maverick McNealy43%
Hideki Matsuyama42%
Jackson Koivun36%
Corey Conners34%
Keith Mitchell32%
Jordan L. Smith32%
Sung-Jae Im31%
Mac Meissner31%
Jake Knapp30%
Sam Stevens30%
Ben Kohles30%
Pierceson Coody29%
Jackson Suber28%
Max Homa28%
Benjamin James28%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout28%
Johnny Keefer27%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen27%
Casey Jarvis27%
Michael Brennan26%
Brian Harman26%
Gary Woodland25%
Max McGreevy25%
Michael Kim24%
Davis Thompson23%
William Mouw23%
Max Greyserman22%
Emiliano Grillo22%
Zac Blair22%
Kevin Yu21%
Beau Hossler21%
John Parry21%
Lucas Glover21%
Zach Bauchou21%
Ricky Castillo20%
Steven Fisk20%
Andrew Putnam20%
Rico Hoey20%
Keita Nakajima20%
Denny McCarthy20%
Doug Ghim19%
Tony Finau19%
Taylor Pendrith19%
Lee Hodges19%
Aldrich Potgieter18%
Taylor Moore17%
Seamus Power17%
Takumi Kanaya17%
Chris Kirk17%
Austin Smotherman17%
Kevin Roy17%
Mackenzie Hughes16%
Preston Stout16%
Jesper Svensson16%
Tom Hoge16%
Joel Dahmen16%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju15%
Hao-Tong Li14%
Thorbjorn Olesen14%
Billy Horschel14%
Ze-Cheng Dou14%
Matt Kuchar14%
Austin Eckroat14%
Brandt Snedeker14%
Patrick Fishburn13%
A.J. Ewart13%
Kristoffer Ventura13%
David Lipsky13%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart12%
Karl Vilips12%
Aaron Wise12%
Stephan Jaeger11%
Patrick Rodgers11%
Garrick Higgo11%
Chad Ramey11%
Matthieu Pavon11%
Nick Dunlap11%
Neal Shipley11%
Luke Clanton10%
David Skinns10%
Chandler Phillips10%
Lanto Griffin10%
Ryder Cowan9%
Erik Van Rooyen9%
Pontus Nyholm9%
Trace Crowe9%
Adam Hadwin9%
Harry Higgs8%
Mark Hubbard8%
Hayden Springer7%
Vince Whaley7%
Jimmy Stanger6%
Gordon Sargent5%
Luke List5%
Cameron Champ5%
Jason Day1%

Market context

PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20 — current market-implied probability: 81%. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 20 at the 2026 3M Open tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not anno…

Methodology

This page compares PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20 specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Emma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial JournalistandSarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets Writer

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