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Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer

Which venue prices "Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Completed Match 100% Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set Handicap +/-2.5 100% Volume: $185K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set Handicap +/-2.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 3 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 2 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 3 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 3 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 1 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Total Sets: O/U 3.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Total Sets: O/U 4.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Match O/U 36.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Match O/U 38.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Match O/U 40.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer. This market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Tristan Boyer in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nu…

Methodology

We read Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative UK offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer on Kalshi Alternative UK

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Related Topics

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