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Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

Which venue prices "Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante 51% Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 21.5 51% Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 Winner 50% Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 8.5 50% Volume: $421K Liquidity: $835K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante51%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 21.551%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 Winner50%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 8.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 Winner50%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 22.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 23.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Completed Match4%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 51% probability to swedish open: alejandro tabilo vs thiago agustin tirante. This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Swedish Open, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleja…

Methodology

We read Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative UK offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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Related Topics

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