Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| O/U 57.5 | 100% |
| O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| O/U 61.5 | 100% |
| O/U 63.5 | 100% |
| O/U 65.5 | 100% |
| O/U 67.5 | 100% |
| O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| O/U 71.5 | 100% |
| O/U 73.5 | 100% |
| O/U 75.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati 2H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati 2H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia 2H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 100% |
| Cincinnati vs. West Virginia: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati vs. West Virginia: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati vs. West Virginia: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Cincinnati vs. West Virginia: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Cincinnati vs. West Virginia | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 0% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 0% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 0% |
| West Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Cincinnati 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Cincinnati 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Cincinnati vs. West Virginia: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Cincinnati vs. West Virginia: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2H Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, cincinnati vs. west virginia stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Cincinnati and West Virginia, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati" if Cincinnati win the g…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $294K.
Methodology
This page compares Cincinnati vs. West Virginia specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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