Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
89% | 11% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
89% | 11% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 89% |
| O/U 37.5 | 89% |
| Spread -0.5 | 86% |
| O/U 39.5 | 85% |
| Memphis O/U 23.5 | 84% |
| O/U 43.5 | 80% |
| Spread -1.5 | 79% |
| O/U 41.5 | 79% |
| Spread -2.5 | 77% |
| O/U 45.5 | 73% |
| Spread -3.5 | 71% |
| Spread -4.5 | 69% |
| Memphis O/U 26.5 | 69% |
| Memphis O/U 29.5 | 69% |
| Spread -5.5 | 67% |
| O/U 47.5 | 66% |
| O/U 49.5 | 66% |
| Spread -6.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 65% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 65% |
| Spread -7.5 | 59% |
| O/U 51.5 | 58% |
| Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| Spread -8.5 | 56% |
| O/U 53.5 | 55% |
| Memphis O/U 32.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| Spread -10.5 | 52% |
| East Carolina O/U 20.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 51% |
| Memphis Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| East Carolina vs. Memphis: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina vs. Memphis: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina vs. Memphis: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina vs. Memphis: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina vs. Memphis: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina vs. Memphis: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 49% |
| East Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 49% |
| East Carolina O/U 32.5 | 48% |
| Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 45% |
| O/U 57.5 | 44% |
| Spread -14.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| East Carolina O/U 23.5 | 41% |
| Spread -16.5 | 40% |
| Spread -17.5 | 37% |
| O/U 59.5 | 36% |
| O/U 61.5 | 36% |
| Memphis O/U 35.5 | 30% |
| O/U 63.5 | 29% |
| Spread -20.5 | 28% |
| East Carolina O/U 26.5 | 25% |
| East Carolina O/U 29.5 | 25% |
| O/U 65.5 | 24% |
| O/U 67.5 | 24% |
| East Carolina vs. Memphis | 20% |
| Spread -1.5 | 19% |
| Spread -2.5 | 18% |
| O/U 69.5 | 18% |
| O/U 71.5 | 14% |
| O/U 73.5 | 14% |
| Spread -3.5 | 13% |
| Spread -4.5 | 12% |
| Spread -5.5 | 11% |
| Spread -6.5 | 10% |
| O/U 75.5 | 10% |
| Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Spread -8.5 | 7% |
| Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| Spread -13.5 | 4% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, east carolina vs. memphis stands at 89% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between East Carolina and Memphis, scheduled for October 22 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "East Carolina" if East Carolina win the…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $171K.
Methodology
This page compares East Carolina vs. Memphis specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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