Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Illinois 1H O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Illinois 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 97% |
| O/U 43.5 | 95% |
| Spread -7.5 | 90% |
| Spread -10.5 | 86% |
| Spread -11.5 | 85% |
| Spread -13.5 | 82% |
| Spread -14.5 | 77% |
| O/U 35.5 | 76% |
| O/U 39.5 | 76% |
| O/U 41.5 | 75% |
| O/U 49.5 | 75% |
| O/U 45.5 | 73% |
| O/U 47.5 | 73% |
| Illinois O/U 13.5 | 72% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 71% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 70% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 70% |
| Spread -17.5 | 69% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 68% |
| Spread -19.5 | 67% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 66% |
| Spread -20.5 | 65% |
| O/U 53.5 | 65% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 64% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 62% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 61% |
| Ohio State O/U 45.5 | 61% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 21.5 | 61% |
| O/U 51.5 | 59% |
| Spread -21.5 | 57% |
| Spread -22.5 | 57% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 57% |
| O/U 55.5 | 56% |
| Spread -23.5 | 55% |
| Illinois O/U 16.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 52% |
| O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| O/U 57.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Ohio State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 51% |
| Ohio State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 51% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Illinois O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Illinois O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Illinois O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Illinois vs. Ohio State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Illinois vs. Ohio State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Illinois vs. Ohio State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Illinois vs. Ohio State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Illinois vs. Ohio State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Illinois vs. Ohio State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 49% |
| Illinois O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Spread -26.5 | 46% |
| Spread -25.5 | 45% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 42% |
| Spread -27.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 41% |
| O/U 61.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 40% |
| O/U 65.5 | 39% |
| O/U 63.5 | 38% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 37% |
| Spread -28.5 | 36% |
| Spread -29.5 | 36% |
| O/U 69.5 | 35% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 35% |
| Spread -30.5 | 33% |
| O/U 71.5 | 33% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 30% |
| Spread -31.5 | 29% |
| Spread -32.5 | 29% |
| Spread -33.5 | 25% |
| O/U 67.5 | 22% |
| Spread -34.5 | 21% |
| Spread -35.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 15% |
| Spread -36.5 | 14% |
| Spread -38.5 | 13% |
| O/U 73.5 | 11% |
| Spread -41.5 | 9% |
| Spread -42.5 | 7% |
| Spread -44.5 | 7% |
| Spread -45.5 | 6% |
| Spread -48.5 | 5% |
| Illinois vs. Ohio State | 2% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to illinois vs. ohio state. In the upcoming college football game between Illinois and Ohio State, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Illinois" if Illinois win the game. This market will resol…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $266K.
Methodology
This page compares Illinois vs. Ohio State specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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