Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
84% | 16% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
84% | 16% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 84% |
| O/U 37.5 | 81% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 80% |
| O/U 39.5 | 79% |
| O/U 41.5 | 75% |
| O/U 43.5 | 71% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| Kansas State O/U 20.5 | 71% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 66% |
| O/U 45.5 | 64% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 64% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 64% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 61% |
| O/U 47.5 | 60% |
| Kansas State O/U 23.5 | 60% |
| Arizona State O/U 23.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 58% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 57% |
| O/U 49.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Kansas State vs. Arizona State | 52% |
| Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State vs. Arizona State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State vs. Arizona State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| O/U 51.5 | 49% |
| 1H Moneyline | 49% |
| Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| O/U 53.5 | 44% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 43% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 43% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 43% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 42% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 42% |
| Kansas State 1H O/U 11.5 | 42% |
| Kansas State vs. Arizona State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 41% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 14.5 | 41% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| Kansas State O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| O/U 55.5 | 37% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 37% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 36% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 14.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 35% |
| Kansas State vs. Arizona State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| Arizona State O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| O/U 57.5 | 34% |
| Kansas State O/U 29.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 33% |
| Arizona State O/U 35.5 | 33% |
| Kansas State O/U 26.5 | 32% |
| Kansas State O/U 32.5 | 32% |
| Kansas State 1H O/U 15.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| O/U 59.5 | 30% |
| O/U 61.5 | 30% |
| Arizona State O/U 29.5 | 30% |
| Arizona State O/U 32.5 | 30% |
| Kansas State vs. Arizona State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| Kansas State 2H O/U 15.5 | 29% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 28% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Kansas State vs. Arizona State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 26% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 26% |
| Spread -8.5 | 25% |
| Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 25% |
| Spread -8.5 | 24% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 23% |
| O/U 63.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 22% |
| Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| O/U 65.5 | 20% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 20% |
| O/U 67.5 | 19% |
| Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| Spread -13.5 | 17% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Spread -13.5 | 15% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| O/U 69.5 | 14% |
| O/U 71.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| O/U 73.5 | 12% |
| Spread -17.5 | 11% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| O/U 75.5 | 9% |
Market context
The Kansas State vs. Arizona State prediction market currently prices this outcome at 84% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Kansas State and Arizona State, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas State" if Kansas State win the game. This marke…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $192K.
Methodology
This page compares Kansas State vs. Arizona State specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2216%2C18%2020%2C4%2024%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2224%2C18%2028%2C3%2032%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2232%2C18%2036%2C3%2040%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2240%2C18%2044%2C4%2048%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2214%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2236%22%20height%3D%228%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Kansas State vs. Arizona State on Kalshi Alternative UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →