Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
91% | 9% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
91% | 9% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 91% |
| O/U 26.5 | 90% |
| O/U 28.5 | 80% |
| O/U 30.5 | 80% |
| O/U 32.5 | 80% |
| Texas vs. Oklahoma | 76% |
| Spread -2.5 | 73% |
| Spread -1.5 | 72% |
| Texas O/U 20.5 | 67% |
| O/U 34.5 | 65% |
| O/U 36.5 | 65% |
| Spread -3.5 | 64% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 63% |
| Spread -4.5 | 61% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 61% |
| Oklahoma O/U 13.5 | 61% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 60% |
| Spread -6.5 | 59% |
| Spread -5.5 | 58% |
| O/U 38.5 | 58% |
| Texas O/U 23.5 | 57% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 55% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| O/U 40.5 | 52% |
| Spread -26.5 | 51% |
| Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 51% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Oklahoma Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Spread -30.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Texas O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Texas O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Texas O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Texas 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Texas 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Texas vs. Oklahoma: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Texas vs. Oklahoma: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Texas vs. Oklahoma: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Texas vs. Oklahoma: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas vs. Oklahoma: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas vs. Oklahoma: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Oklahoma O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| Oklahoma Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 49% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Oklahoma Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| Spread -8.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| Spread -9.5 | 46% |
| O/U 42.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| Spread -10.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| Spread -12.5 | 41% |
| O/U 46.5 | 41% |
| Spread -13.5 | 39% |
| Spread -11.5 | 39% |
| Spread -0.5 | 39% |
| O/U 44.5 | 39% |
| O/U 62.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 39% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 38% |
| Oklahoma O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 35% |
| Spread -15.5 | 34% |
| O/U 50.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 34% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 34% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 34% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 33% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 33% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 32% |
| Spread -14.5 | 31% |
| O/U 48.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| Spread -16.5 | 29% |
| O/U 52.5 | 29% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 28% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| O/U 56.5 | 27% |
| Spread -17.5 | 25% |
| Texas 1H O/U 15.5 | 23% |
| Spread -20.5 | 22% |
| O/U 54.5 | 17% |
| Spread -3.5 | 16% |
| Spread -23.5 | 15% |
| Spread -4.5 | 15% |
| Spread -24.5 | 14% |
| Spread -6.5 | 13% |
| Spread -27.5 | 12% |
| Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| O/U 60.5 | 8% |
Market context
The Texas vs. Oklahoma prediction market currently prices this outcome at 91% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Texas and Oklahoma, scheduled for October 10 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas" if Texas win the game. This market will resolve to "Oklahom…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $760K.
Methodology
This page compares Texas vs. Oklahoma specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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