Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
85% | 15% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
85% | 15% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 39.5 | 85% |
| O/U 35.5 | 79% |
| O/U 37.5 | 77% |
| O/U 47.5 | 76% |
| O/U 45.5 | 72% |
| O/U 41.5 | 69% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 69% |
| Tennessee O/U 19.5 | 69% |
| Texas O/U 27.5 | 66% |
| Texas vs. Tennessee | 65% |
| Spread -0.5 | 65% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| O/U 43.5 | 64% |
| Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| Spread -1.5 | 62% |
| O/U 49.5 | 62% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 61% |
| O/U 51.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 57% |
| Texas 2H O/U 14.5 | 57% |
| Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| O/U 53.5 | 55% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| Spread -4.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Texas O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Texas O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| Tennessee O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| Tennessee 1H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Texas 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Tennessee 2H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 51% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 51% |
| Texas vs. Tennessee: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Texas O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Tennessee O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Texas O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Texas vs. Tennessee: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Texas vs. Tennessee: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Texas vs. Tennessee: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas vs. Tennessee: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas vs. Tennessee: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| O/U 55.5 | 48% |
| Texas 1H O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| 1H Moneyline | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Texas O/U 30.5 | 47% |
| Spread -6.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 45% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 45% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| O/U 57.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| Tennessee 1H O/U 15.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| Texas 1H O/U 16.5 | 40% |
| Spread -8.5 | 39% |
| Spread -7.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| Spread -9.5 | 37% |
| O/U 59.5 | 37% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 37% |
| Texas 1H O/U 18.5 | 37% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Spread -0.5 | 35% |
| O/U 61.5 | 35% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Spread -1.5 | 33% |
| Spread -10.5 | 32% |
| Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| Spread -11.5 | 30% |
| O/U 63.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 29% |
| Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| O/U 71.5 | 27% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 26% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| Spread -14.5 | 25% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 24% |
| Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| Spread -12.5 | 21% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Spread -17.5 | 19% |
| O/U 65.5 | 19% |
| O/U 69.5 | 18% |
| Spread -20.5 | 17% |
| O/U 73.5 | 16% |
| Spread -21.5 | 14% |
| Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| Spread -13.5 | 11% |
| O/U 75.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 85% probability to texas vs. tennessee. In the upcoming college football game between Texas and Tennessee, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas" if Texas win the game. This market will resolve to "Ten…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $122K.
Methodology
We read Texas vs. Tennessee from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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