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Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs

Which venue prices "Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5) 100% O/U 2.5 Games 79% Match Winner 55% Volume: $208K Liquidity: $109K Closes: 26 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)100%
O/U 2.5 Games79%
Match Winner55%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 2 Winner21%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)21%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.514%
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs Astralis (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to counter-strike: 100 thieves vs astralis (bo3) - stake pulse beat ii playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between 100 Thieves and Astralis in the Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market …

Methodology

We read Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
Is Kalshi available in the UK?
Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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Trade Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stak… on Kalshi Alternative UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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