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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Elimination Round" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Match Winner 81% Game 1 Winner 73% Game 2 Winner 73% Any Player Rampage 62% Volume: $106K Liquidity: $754K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner81%
Game 1 Winner73%
Game 2 Winner73%
Any Player Rampage62%
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)53%
Both Teams Beat Roshan53%
Any Player Ultra Kill52%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?52%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks51%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan41%
Both Teams Beat Roshan41%
O/U 2.5 Games40%
Any Player Ultra Kill39%
Any Player Ultra Kill39%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks38%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks38%
Any Player Rampage11%
Any Player Rampage8%

Market context

Market consensus: 81% chance of dota 2: team falcons vs vici gaming (bo3) - the international elimination round. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Falcons and Vici Gaming in the The International Elimination Round, initially scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Thi…

Methodology

We read Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Elimination Round from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
Is Kalshi available in the UK?
Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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