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Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Ends in Daytime 100% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 90% Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? 90% Game 2 Winner 65% Volume: $143K Liquidity: $588K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?90%
Game 2 Winner65%
O/U 2.5 Games65%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50%
Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs GLYPH (+1.5)36%
Match Winner23%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan1%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
First Blood in Game 1?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%

Market context

The Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Dota 2 Quarterfinal 1 match between GLYPH and PlayTime in the Games of the Future Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 3 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "GLYPH…

Methodology

This page compares Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative UK offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Futur… on Kalshi Alternative UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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