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Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Which venue prices "Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Ends in Daytime 50% Both Teams Beat Roshan 50% Both Teams Destroy Barracks 50% Any Player Ultra Kill 50% Volume: $217K Liquidity: $77K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?38%
Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?38%
First Blood in Game 2?25%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?13%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?13%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dota 2: team nemesis vs parivision (bo2) - esports world cup group c stands at 50% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Nemesis and PARIVISION in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 7 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve…

Methodology

We read Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative UK offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Emma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial JournalistandSarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets Writer

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