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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Game 1 Winner 100% Ends in Daytime 100% Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? 100% Volume: $1.4M Liquidity: $858K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?99%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?99%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks90%
First Blood in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 90.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 95.5 in Game 1?90%
Match Winner51%
Both Teams Beat Roshan51%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 100.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 105.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 110.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 120.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2?50%
Ends in Daytime10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 2 Winner0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to dota 2: team spirit vs mouz (bo2) - esports world cup group c. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Spirit and MOUZ in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 7 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team S…

Methodology

This page compares Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
and

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