Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Charlton Athletic FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Charlton Athletic FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 86% |
| West Ham United FC O/U 0.5 | 77% |
| Both Teams to Score | 76% |
| O/U 2.5 | 55% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 51% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| West Ham United FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| West Ham United FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Charlton Athletic FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Charlton Athletic FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| West Ham United FC O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| Charlton Athletic FC O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| Charlton Athletic FC (-2.5) | 17% |
| West Ham United FC O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Charlton Athletic FC (-1.5) | 13% |
| West Ham United FC (-1.5) | 10% |
| O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Charlton Athletic FC O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| West Ham United FC (-2.5) | 3% |
| O/U 5.5 | 2% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 1% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| West Ham United FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| West Ham United FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Charlton Athletic FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, west ham united fc vs. charlton athletic fc - more markets stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the EFL Championship game, scheduled for August 22 at 10:00 AM ET.
Methodology
This page compares West Ham United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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