Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| FC Utrecht | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw (FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| SC Heerenveen | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
FC Utrecht host SC Heerenveen in a late-season Eredivisie playoff fixture, with the market already implying certainty after the result. The historical framing is straightforward: these sides have been hard to separate, with the league meeting in February ending 1-1, and FotMob noting Utrecht have not lost in the last five head-to-heads. ESPN’s live match page also shows the game finished 3-2 to Utrecht, which is consistent with the market resolving as a home win rather than a one-sided mismatch. For comparison, Polymarket-style contracts usually trade as simple binary probabilities, while Betfair and Smarkets express the same view through decimal prices and order-book depth; on a settled result like this, the more relevant differences are fees and access rather than direction.
What traders were watching before kick-off was less the headline probability than the surrounding context: Utrecht’s home advantage, the playoff setting, and whether team selection reflected fatigue or rotation. ESPN listed pre-match moneyline pricing around Utrecht -110 and Heerenveen -110, with the total priced near 2.5 goals, which suggested a competitive, moderate-scoring game rather than a clear favourite. On bookmakers that require KYC and operate in regulated jurisdictions, the same match can look marginally different once commission is added, whereas on a prediction platform the quoted probability is usually cleaner but can move sharply on late team news. Because this fixture was scheduled for 19:00 UTC and settled once the final whistle went in, any confirmed starting XI, injury update, or postponement risk would have been the main catalyst before the market closed.
Methodology
This page compares FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). PolyGram routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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