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England vs. DR Congo - Player Props

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "England vs. DR Congo - Player Props" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Jude Bellingham: 1+ shots 84% Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots 82% Noni Madueke: 1+ shots 72% Jude Bellingham: 2+ shots 69% Volume: $178K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 1 Jul 2026
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England vs. DR Congo - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
84% 16% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
84% 16% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Jude Bellingham: 1+ shots84%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots82%
Noni Madueke: 1+ shots72%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ shots69%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots on target68%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ shots on target62%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots60%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals55%
Harry Kane: 2+ shots on target55%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ shots52%
Eberechi Eze: 1+ shots52%
Morgan Rogers: 1+ shots50%
Morgan Rogers: 2+ shots50%
Noni Madueke: 5+ shots49%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ goals + assists49%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ shots on target48%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ shots on target48%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ shots on target48%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ shots on target48%
Bukayo Saka: 3+ shots on target48%
Bukayo Saka: 4+ shots on target48%
Eberechi Eze: 1+ shots on target48%
Eberechi Eze: 2+ shots on target48%
Harry Kane: 4+ shots on target48%
Ivan Toney: 1+ shots on target48%
Ivan Toney: 2+ shots on target48%
Ivan Toney: 3+ shots on target48%
Jude Bellingham: 4+ shots on target48%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ shots on target48%
Morgan Rogers: 1+ shots on target48%
Morgan Rogers: 2+ shots on target48%
Morgan Rogers: 3+ shots on target48%
Noni Madueke: 1+ shots on target48%
Noni Madueke: 2+ shots on target48%
Noni Madueke: 3+ shots on target48%
Noni Madueke: 4+ shots on target48%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ shots on target48%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ shots on target48%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ shots on target48%
Ollie Watkins: 4+ shots on target48%
Anthony Gordon: 3+ goals + assists48%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goals + assists48%
Bukayo Saka: 3+ goals + assists48%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals + assists48%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals + assists48%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals + assists48%
Jude Bellingham: 3+ goals + assists48%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals + assists48%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals + assists48%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals + assists48%
Dean Henderson: 3+ saves47%
Timothy Fayulu: 3+ saves47%
Harry Kane: 4+ goals + assists47%
Anthony Gordon: 4+ goals + assists46%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ goals + assists46%
Noni Madueke: 4+ shots45%
Harry Kane: 1+ shots on target45%
Dean Henderson: 5+ saves44%
Noni Madueke: 2+ shots43%
Noni Madueke: 1+ goals + assists43%
Jude Bellingham: 3+ shots42%
Morgan Rogers: 4+ goals + assists42%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ shots41%
Eberechi Eze: 2+ shots39%
Noni Madueke: 2+ goals + assists39%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals + assists36%
Noni Madueke: 3+ goals + assists36%
Morgan Rogers: 3+ goals + assists35%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ shots32%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots32%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ shots on target32%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ shots30%
Noni Madueke: 4+ goals + assists29%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals28%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals + assists27%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ assists26%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals24%
Jude Bellingham: 4+ shots24%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ shots23%
Noni Madueke: 3+ shots23%
Harry Kane: 3+ shots on target23%
Bukayo Saka: 4+ shots22%
Jude Bellingham: 5+ shots22%
Bukayo Saka: 3+ shots21%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots on target21%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals19%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ assists19%
Bukayo Saka: 5+ shots18%
Harry Kane: 1+ assists18%
Noni Madueke: 1+ goals17%
Ivan Toney: 1+ goals16%
Marcus Rashford: 5+ shots15%
Eberechi Eze: 1+ goals14%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ assists14%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ assists14%
Noni Madueke: 1+ assists14%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goals13%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ assists13%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ assists13%
Morgan Rogers: 2+ assists13%
Noni Madueke: 2+ assists13%
Morgan Rogers: 1+ assists12%
Timothy Fayulu: 2+ saves11%
Timothy Fayulu: 4+ saves11%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots on target11%
Dean Henderson: 2+ saves10%
Dean Henderson: 4+ saves10%
Timothy Fayulu: 5+ saves10%
Jude Bellingham: 3+ shots on target10%
Jude Bellingham: 4+ goals + assists10%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ goals9%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ goals + assists8%
Morgan Rogers: 1+ goals + assists8%
Morgan Rogers: 1+ goals7%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ goals7%
Anthony Gordon: 4+ shots on target7%
Ivan Toney: 4+ shots on target7%
Eberechi Eze: 4+ shots on target7%
Morgan Rogers: 4+ shots on target7%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals5%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals5%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ assists5%
Eberechi Eze: 2+ goals4%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals4%
Anthony Gordon: 3+ shots4%
Morgan Rogers: 3+ shots4%
Harry Kane: 2+ assists4%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ goals + assists4%
Morgan Rogers: 2+ goals + assists4%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ goals3%
Ivan Toney: 2+ goals3%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ goals3%
Eberechi Eze: 3+ shots3%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ assists3%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ goals2%
Morgan Rogers: 2+ goals2%
Noni Madueke: 2+ goals2%
Anthony Gordon: 4+ shots2%
Anthony Gordon: 5+ shots2%
Eberechi Eze: 4+ shots2%
Eberechi Eze: 5+ shots2%
Morgan Rogers: 4+ shots2%
Morgan Rogers: 5+ shots2%
Anthony Gordon: 3+ shots on target2%
Eberechi Eze: 3+ shots on target2%
Anthony Gordon: 3+ goals1%
Bukayo Saka: 3+ goals1%
Eberechi Eze: 3+ goals1%
Ivan Toney: 3+ goals1%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals1%
Morgan Rogers: 3+ goals1%
Noni Madueke: 3+ goals1%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ goals1%
Bukayo Saka: 4+ goals + assists1%
Jude Bellingham: 3+ goals0%

Market context

The England vs. DR Congo - Player Props prediction market currently prices this outcome at 84% YES. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between England and DR Congo, scheduled for July 1 at 12:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We read England vs. DR Congo - Player Props from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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