Haiti vs. Scotland - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Haiti and Scotland will meet in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage on 13 June at 9:00 PM ET. The market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Any result not explicitly listed resolves to "Any Other Score," a common catch-all structure across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Betfair, though Smarkets typically offers more granular outcome splits on football matches. The 0% implied probability reflects the specificity required—predicting an exact scoreline is inherently difficult, and most traders allocate capital to broader markets (match winner, over/under goals) where liquidity concentrates.

Haiti qualified for the 2026 World Cup via CONCACAF, their second appearance in the tournament. Scotland failed to qualify, having not reached a World Cup since 1998. Historical precedent suggests significant skill gaps between established footballing nations and smaller confederations typically produce decisive scorelines; however, group-stage matches occasionally yield surprises. Haiti's recent competitive record shows mixed results, whilst Scotland's absence from recent tournaments means limited recent head-to-head data. The 0% reading likely reflects both the rarity of exact-score hits and trader preference for platforms with deeper football liquidity—Betfair's exchange model and Kalshi's regulatory reach in the US each attract different trader bases for this fixture.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates from both federations closer to June. Fixture congestion in the 2026 calendar may affect team rotation and tactical approach. Polymarket's fee structure (2% maker/taker) differs from Kalshi's fixed spreads, potentially creating arbitrage opportunities if one platform's exact-score odds drift significantly ahead of others. Settlement timing—the market closes 13 June at 01:00 UTC, roughly 4 hours after kick-off—allows for live-score verification across major sports data providers.

Methodology

We read Haiti vs. Scotland - Exact Score from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live quote comes directly from the Polygon order book; the other three are listed with their platform attributes — fees, KYC, settlement currency, payment options — because a 1:1 contract comparison without API access would be guesswork.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). Kalshi Alternative UK routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Kalshi Alternative UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi Alternative UK?

Zero. Kalshi Alternative UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.