Sweden vs. Tunisia - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Sweden and Tunisia will meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 14 June at 10:00 PM ET. The market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Any outcome not explicitly listed resolves to "Any Other Score," a catch-all category that typically captures the majority of probability mass in exact-score markets. The 1% implied probability on the YES side reflects the extreme specificity required: bettors must predict not just a winner but the precise goal tally.

Exact-score markets across platforms diverge sharply on liquidity and odds presentation. Polymarket displays decimal odds natively; Kalshi and Betfair quote American and fractional odds respectively, affecting how traders perceive edge. Smarkets uses decimal odds with tighter spreads on major football fixtures, though this match—a group-stage encounter between mid-tier nations—may see wider bid-ask gaps. Historical World Cup group matches between comparable-ranked sides (Sweden ranked 24th, Tunisia 30th in recent FIFA standings) produce scorelines clustering around 1–0, 1–1, and 2–1 outcomes. Sweden's recent form includes a 2–0 victory over Azerbaijan in March 2024 qualifiers; Tunisia drew 0–0 with Equatorial Guinea in African Cup of Nations qualifying. Neither team's attacking profile suggests high-scoring affairs.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates through May 2026, particularly regarding Sweden's forward depth and Tunisia's defensive stability. Fixture congestion in the preceding weeks may affect player fatigue. Platform-specific considerations matter: Kalshi's KYC requirements and US-focused user base may thin liquidity compared to Betfair's global reach, potentially widening odds on niche scorelines. Settlement occurs 2 June 2026 at 02:00 UTC, allowing roughly 24 hours post-match for official confirmation.

Methodology

This page compares Sweden vs. Tunisia - Exact Score specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Kalshi Alternative UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi Alternative UK?

Zero. Kalshi Alternative UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi Alternative UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.