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United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - More Markets

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - More Markets" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

O/U 0.5 95% United States O/U 0.5 90% Team to Advance 83% O/U 1.5 79% Volume: $359K Liquidity: $2.8M Closes: 2 Jul 2026
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United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.595%
United States O/U 0.590%
Team to Advance83%
O/U 1.579%
2nd Half O/U 0.578%
1st Half O/U 0.572%
United States 2nd Half O/U 0.570%
United States O/U 1.564%
United States 1st Half O/U 0.562%
O/U 2.555%
Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 0.552%
Both Teams to Score46%
2nd Half O/U 1.546%
United States (-1.5)45%
1st Half O/U 1.537%
United States O/U 2.536%
United States 2nd Half O/U 1.534%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 0.533%
O/U 3.532%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.526%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half25%
United States 1st Half O/U 1.524%
United States (-2.5)24%
Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?24%
Will the Match Go to Extra Time?22%
2nd Half O/U 2.521%
Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 1.517%
Both Teams to Score in First Half17%
O/U 4.516%
1st Half O/U 2.514%
United States (-3.5)11%
O/U 5.57%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 1.57%
Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 2.54%
United States (-4.5)4%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1.53%
Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)2%
United States (-5.5)2%
O/U 6.52%
Bosnia and Herzegovina (-3.5)1%
O/U 7.51%
O/U 8.51%
Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)0%
Bosnia and Herzegovina (-4.5)0%
Bosnia and Herzegovina (-5.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, united states vs. bosnia and herzegovina - more markets stands at 95% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 1 at 8:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We read United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - More Markets from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
and

Trade United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - More Markets on Kalshi Alternative UK

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Related Topics

Sports