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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Completed Match 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 21.5 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $1.1M Closes: 5 Aug 2026
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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 21.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo0%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 Winner0%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 Winner0%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 22.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to mubadala citi dc open: terence atmane vs alejandro tabilo. This market refers to the tennis match between Terence Atmane and Alejandro Tabilo in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ter…

Methodology

We read Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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