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Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot

Which venue prices "Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 9.5 74% Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 8.5 73% Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Match O/U 21.5 67% Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot 56% Volume: $78K Liquidity: $430K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 9.574%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 8.573%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Match O/U 21.567%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot56%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 Winner56%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Match O/U 22.556%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 Winner55%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 O/U 10.551%
Completed Match50%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Match O/U 23.548%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Total Sets: O/U 2.540%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 10.540%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Set Handicap +/-1.537%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 74% YES probability for Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot. This market refers to the tennis match between Raphael Collignon and Valentin Vacherot in the Swiss Open, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raphael Col…

Methodology

We read Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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Trade Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot on Kalshi Alternative UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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