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Croatia Open, Qualification: Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez

Which venue prices "Croatia Open, Qualification: Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Completed Match 100% Croatia Open, Qualification: Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Croatia Open, Qualification: Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Croatia Open, Qualification: Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $72K Liquidity: $8K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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Croatia Open, Qualification: Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Croatia Open, Qualification: Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Croatia Open, Qualification: Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Croatia Open, Qualification: Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Croatia Open, Qualification: Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Croatia Open, Qualification: Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez0%
Croatia Open, Qualification: Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 2 Winner0%
Croatia Open, Qualification: Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 1 Winner0%
Croatia Open, Qualification: Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez Match O/U 21.50%
Croatia Open, Qualification: Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Croatia Open, Qualification: Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Croatia Open, Qualification: Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez Match O/U 22.50%
Croatia Open, Qualification: Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Croatia Open, Qualification: Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez Match O/U 23.50%
Croatia Open, Qualification: Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to croatia open, qualification: andrea guerrieri vs federico agustin gomez. This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Guerrieri and Federico Agustin Gomez in the Croatia Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

We read Croatia Open, Qualification: Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative UK offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade Croatia Open, Qualification: Andrea Guerrieri vs Fed… on Kalshi Alternative UK

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