Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis | 100% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Match O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 Winner | 50% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Match O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Completed Match | 0% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis. This market refers to the tennis match between Alexei Popyrin and Thanasi Kokkinakis in the Canadian Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resol…
Methodology
We read Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative UK offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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