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BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Winner

Which venue prices "BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Winner" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

A 50% B 50% C 50% D 50% Volume: $279K Liquidity: $1.0M
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BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
A50%
B50%
C50%
D50%
E50%
Other50%
Vitality28%
Falcons24%
Spirit24%
FURIA10%
G25%
Aurora4%
MOUZ3%
FUT2%
The MongolZ1%
GamerLegion1%
Astralis1%
magic1%
paiN1%
FaZe1%
Liquid1%
Alliance1%
3DMAX1%
EYEBALLERS1%
HEROIC1%
M800%
Ninjas in Pyjamas0%
Sharks0%
Nemesis0%
Gentle Mates0%
Wildcard0%
SINNERS0%
FOKUS0%
Nuclear TigeRES0%
HOTU0%
100 Thieves0%
OG0%
Nemiga0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 50% probability to blast bounty 2026 season 2: winner. This market will resolve according to the winner of BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2, scheduled for July 21, 2026 to August 2, 2026 at BLAST Studio in Malta. If BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 is postponed unti…

Methodology

We read BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Winner from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative UK offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Winner on Kalshi Alternative UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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