Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
78% | 22% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
78% | 22% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 78% |
| O/U 34.5 | 77% |
| O/U 36.5 | 76% |
| O/U 40.5 | 74% |
| O/U 38.5 | 73% |
| O/U 42.5 | 72% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 71% |
| O/U 44.5 | 70% |
| O/U 46.5 | 68% |
| Spread -1.5 | 67% |
| Spread -2.5 | 64% |
| O/U 48.5 | 64% |
| Spread -5.5 | 61% |
| O/U 50.5 | 61% |
| O/U 52.5 | 60% |
| Spread -4.5 | 60% |
| Spread -8.5 | 57% |
| O/U 53.5 | 57% |
| Spread -7.5 | 56% |
| Spread -6.5 | 56% |
| Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 53% |
| Spread -10.5 | 52% |
| Boise State O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Riley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sire Gaines: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaylin Carter: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Manny Covey: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Marcus Stokes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Maddux Madsen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cameron Bates: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Juelz Goff: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tychaun Chapman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Darren Morris: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Matt Wagner: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ben Ford: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Hunter Tipton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Rasean Jones: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brady Kluse: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Quinton Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dallan Hayden: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jermane Hayes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Akeem Wright: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Aidan O'Callaghan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jemyri Davis: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Alante Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -24.5 | 49% |
| O/U 55.5 | 48% |
| O/U 56.5 | 48% |
| O/U 54.5 | 47% |
| Spread -11.5 | 46% |
| Spread -13.5 | 45% |
| Spread -12.5 | 45% |
| Spread -6.5 | 43% |
| Spread -14.5 | 42% |
| O/U 60.5 | 42% |
| Spread -16.5 | 41% |
| Spread -27.5 | 41% |
| Spread -15.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| Spread -17.5 | 37% |
| O/U 62.5 | 37% |
| Spread -18.5 | 36% |
| O/U 64.5 | 35% |
| Spread -9.5 | 35% |
| O/U 66.5 | 34% |
| Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| Spread -20.5 | 32% |
| Spread -21.5 | 32% |
| O/U 58.5 | 32% |
| O/U 70.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 32% |
| Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| O/U 72.5 | 31% |
| O/U 68.5 | 29% |
| O/U 74.5 | 29% |
| Memphis vs. Boise State | 24% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 78% YES probability for Memphis vs. Boise State. In the upcoming college football game between Memphis and Boise State, scheduled for September 12 at 6:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Memphis" if Memphis win the game. This market will resolve …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $111K.
Methodology
This page compares Memphis vs. Boise State specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2216%2C18%2020%2C4%2024%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2224%2C18%2028%2C3%2032%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2232%2C18%2036%2C3%2040%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2240%2C18%2044%2C4%2048%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2214%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2236%22%20height%3D%228%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Memphis vs. Boise State on Kalshi Alternative UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →