Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
97% | 3% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
97% | 3% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -2.5 | 97% |
| Spread -3.5 | 96% |
| Spread -4.5 | 96% |
| Spread -1.5 | 95% |
| O/U 30.5 | 95% |
| Spread -5.5 | 93% |
| Spread -6.5 | 91% |
| O/U 36.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 91% |
| Houston 1H O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| Houston 1H O/U 18.5 | 91% |
| Houston 1H O/U 17.5 | 91% |
| Spread -7.5 | 90% |
| Spread -10.5 | 84% |
| O/U 42.5 | 80% |
| Spread -13.5 | 77% |
| Spread -14.5 | 76% |
| Spread -16.5 | 69% |
| Spread -17.5 | 69% |
| O/U 48.5 | 56% |
| Spread: Houston (-20.5) | 55% |
| O/U 49.5 | 55% |
| Spread -21.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| O/U 70.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Houston O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Conner Weigman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Makhi Hughes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Amare Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Re'Shaun Sanford II: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cornell Hatcher Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Trent Walker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| AJ Newberry: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Patrick Overmyer: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Koby Young: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Eddie Freauff: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Braden Atkinson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Aeryn Hampton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Aaron Butler: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Eric Olsen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Muizz Tounkara: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Xavyion Noland: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| DeCorion Temple: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jesse Legree: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Harvey Broussard: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Luke McGary: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tyson Turner: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 49% |
| O/U 50.5 | 48% |
| O/U 51.5 | 46% |
| O/U 52.5 | 44% |
| Spread -24.5 | 42% |
| O/U 54.5 | 31% |
| Spread -27.5 | 24% |
| O/U 60.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 1H Moneyline | 10% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 10% |
| Houston 1H O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| Houston 1H O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Houston 1H O/U 21.5 | 10% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 8.5 | 10% |
| Houston 1H O/U 22.5 | 10% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| O/U 66.5 | 6% |
| Oregon State vs. Houston | 3% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Oregon State vs. Houston — current market-implied probability: 97%. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 12:00PM ET: If Oregon State wins, the market will resolve to "Oregon State". If Houston wins, the market will resolve to "Houston". …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $92K.
Methodology
We read Oregon State vs. Houston from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2216%2C18%2020%2C4%2024%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2224%2C18%2028%2C3%2032%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2232%2C18%2036%2C3%2040%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2240%2C18%2044%2C4%2048%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2214%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2236%22%20height%3D%228%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Oregon State vs. Houston on Kalshi Alternative UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →