Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -23.5 | 96% |
| O/U 34.5 | 95% |
| Spread -7.5 | 94% |
| O/U 36.5 | 94% |
| Spread -26.5 | 94% |
| Spread -24.5 | 93% |
| Spread -21.5 | 92% |
| Spread -14.5 | 91% |
| Spread -4.5 | 90% |
| Spread -13.5 | 90% |
| Spread -16.5 | 90% |
| Spread -17.5 | 90% |
| O/U 38.5 | 90% |
| Spread -8.5 | 89% |
| Spread -27.5 | 89% |
| O/U 40.5 | 89% |
| Spread -5.5 | 87% |
| Spread -29.5 | 87% |
| Spread -30.5 | 86% |
| O/U 42.5 | 84% |
| Spread -31.5 | 83% |
| O/U 44.5 | 80% |
| Spread -33.5 | 80% |
| Spread -34.5 | 78% |
| O/U 46.5 | 75% |
| Spread -35.5 | 74% |
| Spread -20.5 | 73% |
| Rice O/U 1.5 | 73% |
| Spread -36.5 | 73% |
| Rice O/U 0.5 | 73% |
| Rice O/U 2.5 | 72% |
| Notre Dame O/U 42.5 | 72% |
| Notre Dame O/U 43.5 | 71% |
| Spread -37.5 | 71% |
| Spread -10.5 | 70% |
| O/U 48.5 | 68% |
| Spread -38.5 | 67% |
| Spread -6.5 | 66% |
| Spread -39.5 | 65% |
| O/U 50.5 | 64% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 64% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 63% |
| Notre Dame O/U 45.5 | 63% |
| Spread -40.5 | 63% |
| Spread -0.5 | 62% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 62% |
| Notre Dame O/U 46.5 | 62% |
| Spread -41.5 | 62% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 61% |
| O/U 52.5 | 56% |
| O/U 53.5 | 56% |
| Notre Dame O/U 48.5 | 56% |
| Spread -42.5 | 56% |
| O/U 54.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -24.5 | 55% |
| Spread -43.5 | 55% |
| Spread -44.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -18.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -16.5 | 52% |
| Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -26.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 2H Spread -19.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Micah Gilbert: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Rice O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Ben Grice: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -17.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Rice O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rice O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rice O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Rice O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Rice O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -27.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| Rice 1H O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Aneyas Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jordan Faison: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nolan James Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| CJ Carr: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cooper Flanagan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kedren Young: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaden Greathouse: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mylan Graham: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| James Flanigan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tyvonn Byars: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jacurri Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Braylen Walker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Payton Matthews: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Elijah Burress: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Matt Jeffery: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| DAndre Hardeman Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Davis Lane Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Carson Morgan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Max Mosey: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Rice 1H O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rice 1H O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Rice 1H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 49.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| Rice O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Spread -45.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 46% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 30.5 | 46% |
| Notre Dame O/U 51.5 | 46% |
| Spread -46.5 | 46% |
| O/U 56.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 44% |
| Rice O/U 6.5 | 44% |
| Rice 1H O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Spread -47.5 | 43% |
| Rice O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| O/U 58.5 | 40% |
| Notre Dame O/U 52.5 | 39% |
| Spread -48.5 | 39% |
| Notre Dame O/U 54.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -28.5 | 37% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -29.5 | 36% |
| O/U 60.5 | 35% |
| Spread -49.5 | 35% |
| Notre Dame O/U 55.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 34% |
| Spread -50.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -22.5 | 33% |
| Spread -51.5 | 31% |
| O/U 62.5 | 28% |
| Spread -52.5 | 28% |
| Rice O/U 8.5 | 26% |
| Rice O/U 7.5 | 26% |
| Spread -54.5 | 25% |
| Rice O/U 9.5 | 24% |
| O/U 64.5 | 23% |
| Spread -57.5 | 18% |
| O/U 66.5 | 17% |
| Spread -58.5 | 16% |
| O/U 68.5 | 15% |
| Rice O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Rice O/U 10.5 | 14% |
| Rice O/U 12.5 | 13% |
| O/U 70.5 | 11% |
| Spread -60.5 | 11% |
| Spread -61.5 | 11% |
| O/U 72.5 | 9% |
| O/U 74.5 | 8% |
| Spread -64.5 | 6% |
| Rice vs. Notre Dame | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 96% chance of rice vs. notre dame. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Rice and Notre Dame, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rice" if Rice win the game. This market wil…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $119K.
Methodology
We read Rice vs. Notre Dame from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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