Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-3.5) vs ARCRED (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 | 100% |
| Map Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs ARCRED (+1.5) | 59% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ARCRED (-3.5) vs WW Team (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 49% |
| Map 2 Winner | 45% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 41% |
| Match Winner | 29% |
| Map Handicap: ARC (-1.5) vs WW Team (+1.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ARCRED (-9.5) vs WW Team (+9.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ARCRED (-3.5) vs WW Team (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-6.5) vs ARCRED (+6.5) | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to counter-strike: arcred vs ww team (bo3) - cis lan championship playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between ARCRED and WW Team in the CIS LAN Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 29 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve t…
Methodology
We read Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative UK offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Trade Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Ch… on Kalshi Alternative UK
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