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Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage

Which venue prices "Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $93K Liquidity: $221K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-6.5) vs G2 Ares (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Ares (-3.5) vs Butterfly (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.590%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5)10%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.510%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: BTF (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-9.5) vs G2 Ares (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-12.5) vs G2 Ares (+12.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-6.5) vs G2 Ares (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-6.5) vs G2 Ares (+6.5)0%

Market context

Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Butterfly and G2 Ares in the CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 24 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

This page compares Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative UK offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Eur… on Kalshi Alternative UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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