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Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Cross-platform snapshot for "Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Map 1 Winner 60% Match Winner 59% Map 2 Winner 52% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Volume: $96K Liquidity: $316K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
60% 40% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
60% 40% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner60%
Match Winner59%
Map 2 Winner52%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)42%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)40%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)34%
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)32%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier prediction market currently prices this outcome at 60% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 32 match between Heroic and TheMongolz in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 24 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hero…

Methodology

This page compares Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST B… on Kalshi Alternative UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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