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Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-3.5) vs Passion Academy (+3.5) 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-6.5) vs Passion Academy (+6.5) 100% Volume: $107K Liquidity: $727K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-3.5) vs Passion Academy (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-6.5) vs Passion Academy (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-3.5) vs Passion Academy (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-3.5) vs LPH Gaming (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-6.5) vs LPH Gaming (+6.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-12.5) vs LPH Gaming (+12.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-3.5) vs Passion Academy (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-6.5) vs Passion Academy (+6.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-3.5) vs LPH Gaming (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-6.5) vs LPH Gaming (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-9.5) vs Passion Academy (+9.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: LPH (-1.5) vs Passion Academy (+1.5)0%
Map Handicap: PSN.A (-1.5) vs LPH Gaming (+1.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: lph gaming vs passion academy (bo3) - united21 group d stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between LPH Gaming and Passion Academy in the United21 Group D, initially scheduled for July 6 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

This page compares Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative UK offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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