🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogTrade this market →

Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Game 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 92% First Blood in Game 1? 90% Ends in Daytime 90% Volume: $631K Liquidity: $590K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Match Winner92%
First Blood in Game 1?90%
Ends in Daytime90%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?75%
Game 2 Winner73%
Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)73%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?54%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Any Player Rampage1%
Any Player Rampage1%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to dota 2: 1win vs vici gaming (bo3) - esports world cup survival. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between 1win and Vici Gaming in the Esports World Cup Survival, initially scheduled for July 15 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1wi…

Methodology

We read Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative UK offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Emma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial JournalistandSarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets Writer

Trade Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cu… on Kalshi Alternative UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related live markets

More live prediction markets from our tracker — every trade button routes to Kalshi Alternative UK.

See all markets →