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Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Cross-platform snapshot for "Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stage": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Ends in Daytime 100% Volume: $747K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Any Player Ultra Kill100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?100%
Game Handicap: TR (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)100%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?100%
Ends in Daytime90%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
First Blood in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Any Player Rampage1%
Both Teams Beat Roshan1%
First Blood in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?1%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to dota 2: team resilience vs og (bo3) - the international group stage. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Team Resilience and OG in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

This page compares Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stage specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
Is Kalshi available in the UK?
Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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