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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Cross-platform snapshot for "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Match Winner 60% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 59% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 59% Game 1 Winner 56% Volume: $129K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 22 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
60% 40% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
60% 40% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner60%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?59%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?59%
Game 1 Winner56%
Game 2 Winner56%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime51%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
First Blood in Game 2?48%
Both Teams Beat Roshan43%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?43%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?41%
Both Teams Beat Roshan38%
Both Teams Beat Roshan38%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks36%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)32%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks28%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks28%
Any Player Ultra Kill26%
Any Player Ultra Kill26%
Any Player Ultra Kill25%
Any Player Rampage14%
Any Player Rampage14%
Any Player Rampage14%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 60% probability to dota 2: team spirit vs team liquid (bo3) - the international playoffs. This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Team Spirit and Team Liquid in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This…

Methodology

We read Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
Is Kalshi available in the UK?
Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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