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Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Cross-platform snapshot for "Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 100% Ends in Daytime 100% Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? 100% First Blood in Game 1? 90% Volume: $425K Liquidity: $920K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?100%
First Blood in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?90%
Game 2 Winner51%
O/U 2.5 Games51%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Game Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)34%
Match Winner32%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?1%
Game 1 Winner0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to dota 2: vici gaming vs gamerlegion (bo3) - the international group stage. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Vici Gaming and GamerLegion in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 3:10 AM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

This page compares Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
Is Kalshi available in the UK?
Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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