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LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Which venue prices "LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 56% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 56% First Blood in Game 2? 52% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 51% Volume: $146K Liquidity: $598K Closes: 5 Aug 2026
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LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
56% 44% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
56% 44% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?56%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
O/U 2.5 Games45%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon45%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon45%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?43%
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)42%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?42%
Game 1 Winner38%
Game 2 Winner38%
Match Winner31%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: hanjin brion vs nongshim red force (bo3) - lck round 3-4 rise group stands at 56% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between HANJIN BRION and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 5 at 4:00AM ET. This market will re…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
and

Trade LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK … on Kalshi Alternative UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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