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LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 90% Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? 90% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? 90% Volume: $506K Liquidity: $649K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?90%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)87%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
First Blood in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?10%
O/U 2.5 Games6%
Game 2 Winner3%
Match Winner2%
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: furia esports vs dplus kia (bo3) - esports world cup group a. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between FURIA Esports and Dplus KIA in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 15 at 12:10PM ET. Th…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Emma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial JournalistandSarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets Writer

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