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LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 100% Volume: $521K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
First Blood in Game 2?100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?100%
Game Handicap: PNG (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Odd/Even Total Kills0%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: pain gaming vs fluxo w7m (bo3) - cblol regular season stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between paiN Gaming and Fluxo W7M in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 16 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "pai…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
Is Kalshi available in the UK?
Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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