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LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

First Blood in Game 1? 100% Game Handicap: GZ (-2.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+2.5) 93% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 90% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 90% Volume: $306K Liquidity: $893K Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Game Handicap: GZ (-2.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+2.5)93%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor90%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Game 4 Winner50%
Game Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5)50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Game 3 Winner8%
O/U 3.5 Games8%
O/U 4.5 Games2%
Match Winner1%
Any Player Quadra Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: fukuoka softbank hawks gaming vs ground zero gaming (bo5) - lcp group stage. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming and Ground Zero Gaming in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 6 at 5:00AM ET. Thi…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
Is Kalshi available in the UK?
Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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