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LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Game 2 Winner 90% O/U 2.5 Games 87% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 75% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 74% Volume: $1.7M Liquidity: $687K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner90%
O/U 2.5 Games87%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?75%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?74%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?50%
Match Winner34%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?26%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)6%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Market consensus: 90% chance of lol: team secret vs karmine corp (bo3) - esports world cup group b. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Team Secret and Karmine Corp in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 15 at 9:40AM ET. T…

Methodology

We read LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative UK offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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