Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
73% | 27% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
73% | 27% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 228.5 | 73% |
| O/U 231.5 | 66% |
| O/U 234.5 | 61% |
| O/U 237.5 | 54% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| O/U 238.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Dejounte Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jeremiah Fears: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jeremiah Fears: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Trey Murphy III: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Trey Murphy III: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Trey Murphy III: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| O/U 239.5 | 49% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Assists O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 39.5 | 49% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| Darryn Peterson: Assists O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Assists O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Assists O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 29.5 | 47% |
| Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| O/U 240.5 | 46% |
| Dejounte Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| O/U 241.5 | 45% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Pelicans vs. Jazz | 44% |
| Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 24.5 | 44% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 44% |
| O/U 242.5 | 43% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 19.5 | 42% |
| Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| O/U 244.5 | 40% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| Spread -7.5 | 37% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 29.5 | 37% |
| O/U 245.5 | 36% |
| Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 14.5 | 36% |
| Spread -8.5 | 35% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Dejounte Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 11.5 | 34% |
| Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 2.5 | 34% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Assists O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 18.5 | 33% |
| Yves Missi: Points O/U 7.5 | 33% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 16.5 | 32% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| O/U 247.5 | 31% |
| Yves Missi: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 30% |
| Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5 | 30% |
| Spread -5.5 | 29% |
| Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 29% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 6.5 | 29% |
| Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 20.5 | 28% |
| Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| O/U 250.5 | 27% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Assists O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 24.5 | 26% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 25% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 25% |
| Darryn Peterson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 23% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| Spread -13.5 | 22% |
| Spread -8.5 | 22% |
| O/U 253.5 | 22% |
| Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 14.5 | 22% |
| Jeremiah Fears: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| O/U 256.5 | 17% |
| Trey Murphy III: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 17% |
| Spread -16.5 | 15% |
| Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Spread -19.5 | 9% |
Market context
Pelicans vs. Jazz. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 44% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-24T01:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $85K.
Methodology
This page compares Pelicans vs. Jazz specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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