Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 23.5 | 93% |
| Steelers O/U 10.5 | 92% |
| O/U 24.5 | 90% |
| O/U 26.5 | 90% |
| O/U 28.5 | 88% |
| O/U 29.5 | 85% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 83% |
| O/U 21.5 | 82% |
| O/U 30.5 | 82% |
| O/U 25.5 | 80% |
| O/U 31.5 | 79% |
| O/U 32.5 | 78% |
| Falcons O/U 10.5 | 78% |
| O/U 27.5 | 77% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 76% |
| O/U 33.5 | 75% |
| Steelers O/U 17.5 | 74% |
| 2H O/U 14.5 | 71% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 69% |
| O/U 34.5 | 69% |
| Spread -1.5 | 68% |
| O/U 35.5 | 68% |
| Spread -2.5 | 66% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 6.5 | 66% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 66% |
| Steelers O/U 16.5 | 65% |
| O/U 36.5 | 65% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 64% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 12.5 | 63% |
| Falcons O/U 13.5 | 61% |
| Steelers O/U 20.5 | 61% |
| O/U 37.5 | 60% |
| Steelers O/U 19.5 | 60% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 60% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 60% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 59% |
| O/U 38.5 | 58% |
| Spread -3.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 57% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 57% |
| O/U 39.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Spread -4.5 | 55% |
| Falcons O/U 16.5 | 55% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 55% |
| Falcons Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| O/U 40.5 | 53% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 53% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 53% |
| Steelers O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| Steelers O/U 22.5 | 52% |
| Spread -5.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 52% |
| Falcons O/U 26.5 | 52% |
| 2H Moneyline | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 7-13 | 51% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 14-20 | 51% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 51% |
| Steelers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 51% |
| Falcons vs. Steelers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Steelers O/U 30.5 | 51% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Steelers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Falcons Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Steelers O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 21+ | 49% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 49% |
| Falcons O/U 23.5 | 49% |
| Falcons O/U 30.5 | 49% |
| Steelers O/U 27.5 | 49% |
| Steelers O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| O/U 41.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 25+ | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 19-24 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 13-18 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 7-12 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 1-6 | 48% |
| Falcons O/U 27.5 | 48% |
| Steelers O/U 23.5 | 48% |
| Steelers O/U 26.5 | 48% |
| Steelers O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Spread -6.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| O/U 42.5 | 45% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| Falcons O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| Steelers O/U 25.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 44% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 44% |
| O/U 43.5 | 43% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 42% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| Falcons Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 41% |
| Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| O/U 44.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| Falcons O/U 20.5 | 38% |
| O/U 45.5 | 37% |
| Falcons O/U 22.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 37% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 36% |
| Spread -8.5 | 36% |
| Spread -9.5 | 36% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 36% |
| 1H Moneyline | 35% |
| Falcons O/U 25.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| Spread -10.5 | 33% |
| O/U 46.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| O/U 47.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| O/U 48.5 | 31% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 31% |
| Falcons vs. Steelers | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| O/U 49.5 | 29% |
| Steelers O/U 28.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 26% |
| Spread -13.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 26% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 26% |
| O/U 55.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 24% |
| O/U 50.5 | 24% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 23% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 1-6 | 23% |
| Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| Spread -14.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 21% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| O/U 52.5 | 21% |
| O/U 51.5 | 20% |
| Spread -4.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 20% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 20% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| Spread -5.5 | 19% |
| Spread -16.5 | 19% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 19% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 19% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| O/U 53.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 18% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 16.5 | 18% |
| Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 17% |
| Spread -17.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| O/U 54.5 | 16% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 13.5 | 16% |
| Spread -21.5 | 15% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 15% |
| Spread -19.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 14% |
| Spread -19.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 20.5 | 14% |
| O/U 57.5 | 13% |
| Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| O/U 56.5 | 13% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| O/U 58.5 | 12% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| Spread -9.5 | 11% |
| Spread -21.5 | 11% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| O/U 60.5 | 11% |
| Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| Falcons O/U 28.5 | 10% |
| O/U 59.5 | 9% |
| O/U 61.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 9% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| Spread -16.5 | 8% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Spread -13.5 | 6% |
| O/U 62.5 | 6% |
| O/U 64.5 | 6% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 1% |
Market context
Market consensus: 93% chance of falcons vs. steelers. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 1:00PM ET: If Falcons wins, the market will resolve to "Falcons". If Steelers wins, the market will resolve to "Steelers". I…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $129K.
Methodology
We read Falcons vs. Steelers from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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