Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Chase Brown: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Chase Brown: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Chase Brown: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| Darnell Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Germie Bernard: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Mike Gesicki: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 100% |
| Darnell Washington: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| DK Metcalf: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Mike Gesicki: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Ben Skowronek: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| DK Metcalf: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Mike Gesicki: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 100% |
| Chase Brown: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Mike Gesicki: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Mike Gesicki: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Mike Gesicki: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Darnell Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Darnell Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Darnell Washington: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Darnell Washington: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Drew Sample: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 100% |
| Andrei Iosivas: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Andrei Iosivas: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Andrei Iosivas: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Andrei Iosivas: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Andrei Iosivas: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 50% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 0% |
| Rico Dowdle: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Samaje Perine: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 0% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Germie Bernard: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Aaron Rodgers: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Ben Skowronek: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Chase Brown: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Colbie Young: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Colbie Young: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Darnell Washington: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Darnell Washington: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Dohnte Meyers: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Dohnte Meyers: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Drew Sample: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Drew Sample: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Eli Heidenreich: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Eli Heidenreich: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Erick All Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Erick All Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Germie Bernard: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Germie Bernard: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jack Endries: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jack Endries: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jaylen Warren: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jaylen Warren: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Kaden Wetjen: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Kaden Wetjen: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Ke'Shawn Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Ke'Shawn Williams: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Mike Gesicki: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Pat Freiermuth: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Rico Dowdle: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Rico Dowdle: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Robert Tonyan: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Robert Tonyan: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Roman Wilson: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Samaje Perine: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Samaje Perine: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Tahj Brooks: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Tahj Brooks: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Tee Higgins: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Travis Homer: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Travis Homer: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Ben Skowronek: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Colbie Young: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Darnell Washington: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Dohnte Meyers: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Drew Sample: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Eli Heidenreich: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Erick All Jr.: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Germie Bernard: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Jack Endries: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Jaylen Warren: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Kaden Wetjen: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Ke'Shawn Williams: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Mike Gesicki: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Rico Dowdle: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Robert Tonyan: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Samaje Perine: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Tahj Brooks: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Tee Higgins: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Travis Homer: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 0% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Joe Burrow: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Joe Burrow: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Attempts O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Joe Burrow: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 0% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 0% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 0% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 0% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 119.5 | 0% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Mike Gesicki: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Samaje Perine: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Colbie Young: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Colbie Young: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Colbie Young: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Germie Bernard: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Germie Bernard: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Erick All Jr.: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Erick All Jr.: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Erick All Jr.: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Eli Heidenreich: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Eli Heidenreich: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Eli Heidenreich: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Lew Nichols: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Tanner Hudson: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Lew Nichols: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Tanner Hudson: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Mike Gesicki: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Mike Gesicki: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Drew Sample: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Drew Sample: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Lew Nichols III: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Lew Nichols III: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Jaylen Warren: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
Market context
Bengals vs. Steelers - Player Props. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 100% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-27T17:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Methodology
We read Bengals vs. Steelers - Player Props from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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