Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 28.5 | 93% |
| Cowboys O/U 10.5 | 93% |
| O/U 30.5 | 92% |
| O/U 26.5 | 92% |
| Giants O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| O/U 32.5 | 88% |
| O/U 34.5 | 85% |
| O/U 24.5 | 83% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 6.5 | 82% |
| Giants O/U 14.5 | 82% |
| O/U 36.5 | 81% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 80% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 80% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 80% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 79% |
| Giants 1H O/U 6.5 | 79% |
| Cowboys O/U 17.5 | 79% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 76% |
| O/U 38.5 | 75% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 74% |
| O/U 40.5 | 72% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 72% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 72% |
| Giants O/U 17.5 | 70% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 70% |
| Cowboys O/U 20.5 | 70% |
| O/U 42.5 | 67% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 65% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 65% |
| Cowboys O/U 19.5 | 63% |
| O/U 44.5 | 62% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 62% |
| Cowboys vs. Giants | 60% |
| Spread -0.5 | 60% |
| Giants O/U 20.5 | 60% |
| O/U 45.5 | 59% |
| 1H Moneyline | 57% |
| Cowboys O/U 22.5 | 57% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 57% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 57% |
| Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| O/U 46.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 56% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 56% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| Cowboys O/U 16.5 | 55% |
| Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 12.5 | 54% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 53% |
| Cowboys Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 53% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 53% |
| Cowboys O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Giants O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| O/U 47.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 52% |
| Cowboys O/U 12.5 | 52% |
| Cowboys O/U 27.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Giants 1H O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Giants 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys vs. Giants: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Giants O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 7-13 | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Cowboys Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Giants Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Giants O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Giants O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Giants 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Giants 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Giants 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 49% |
| Cowboys O/U 25.5 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 25+ | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 19-24 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 49% |
| Cowboys O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| O/U 48.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 13-18 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 7-12 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 14-20 | 48% |
| Giants Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Cowboys O/U 23.5 | 48% |
| Giants O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Giants O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Cowboys O/U 29.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| Giants O/U 23.5 | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 21+ | 47% |
| Cowboys O/U 30.5 | 47% |
| Giants 1H O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| Giants O/U 27.5 | 46% |
| Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 45% |
| O/U 49.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| Giants O/U 26.5 | 44% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| O/U 50.5 | 42% |
| Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 39% |
| O/U 52.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| O/U 51.5 | 37% |
| Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 37% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| Giants 1H O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| Giants O/U 29.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| Cowboys O/U 28.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 34% |
| O/U 54.5 | 33% |
| Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 33% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 16.5 | 33% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 32% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 32% |
| Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 30% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 29% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 29% |
| O/U 56.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 28% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 1-6 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 25% |
| Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 1-6 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| Cowboys O/U 31.5 | 23% |
| Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| Giants 1H O/U 16.5 | 23% |
| O/U 58.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Spread -13.5 | 20% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| O/U 60.5 | 19% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 17% |
| Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| Spread -19.5 | 17% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| O/U 62.5 | 16% |
| Spread -8.5 | 16% |
| Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 20.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 15% |
| Spread -21.5 | 15% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Giants 1H O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| O/U 64.5 | 12% |
| Spread -19.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 12% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| Spread -21.5 | 10% |
| Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Giants 1H O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| O/U 66.5 | 9% |
| O/U 68.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| Spread -17.5 | 9% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 93% probability to cowboys vs. giants. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 8:20PM ET: If Cowboys wins, the market will resolve to "Cowboys". If Giants wins, the market will resolve to "Giants". If the game is postponed,…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $78K.
Methodology
This page compares Cowboys vs. Giants specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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